NFL Week 10 Picks From Colin Cowherd, Barstool Advisors, Erin Dolan and More

NFL Week 10 picks and predictions are in. Can Colin Cowherd get back on the winning track with his Week 10 underdogs?

We are officially into the second half of the 2022 NFL season, and Colin Cowherd has a winning record of 24-19-2 through nine weeks in his Blazin’ 5 picks.

The Blazin’ 5 airs every Friday at 1 p.m. ET on his show, The Herd. We highlight Cowherd’s Week 10 selections below, commentary and all to back his choices.

Of course, just because Cowherd likes a game doesn’t mean you need to. If he’s not your flavor, we’ve also got ESPN’s Erin Dolan, the Barstool Sports Advisors “mortal locks,” and Eli Hershkovich of TheLines.com on deck.

After you find the picks you like, head to one of the PA online sportsbooks to get in on the action.

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Colin Cowherd’s Blazin’ 5 record

Colin Cowherd snapped a three-week winning streak in Week 9, falling just one game below .500 lifetime at 143-144-9.

  • 2022: 24-19-2
  • 2021: 37-43-2
  • 2020: 40-41-2
  • 2019: 42-41-3

Week 9 Win:

  • Seattle Seahawks (+5) at Arizona Cardinals (Final Score: Seahawks 31, Cardinals 21)

Week 9 Losses: 

  • Indianapolis Colts (+4.5) at New England Patriots (Final Score: Patriots 26, Colts 3)
  • New Orleans Saints (+2.5) vs. Baltimore Ravens (Final Score: Ravens 27, Saints 13)

Week 9 Pushes: 

  • Atlanta Falcons (+3) vs. Los Angeles Chargers (Final Score: Chargers 20, Falcons 17)
  • Washington Commanders (+3) vs. Minnesota Vikings (Final Score: Vikings 20, Commanders 17)

Week 10 NFL picks from The Herd

“Blazin’ 5. We like gambling on this show.”

Seattle Seahawks (+2.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Cowherd pick: Seahawks

Final score prediction: Seahawks 30, Buccaneers 23

Cowherd said:

“Like it? I love it. I’ll take the Seahawks. Four-game winning streak, all by 10-plus points. It’s a young defense, getting better by the week. They also travel well because defenses and running games do. Their offense under Geno Smith, it’s good and it’s getting better. In fact, since 2021, he’s averaged 72% completion rate, only seven giveaways, a passer rating of 106. There’s no story like Geno in the league, perhaps ever.

“And the Bucs are a mess, the worst rushing offense in the league. Dink-and-dunk offense against a highly aggressive, young and athletic defense. I like the Seahawks to win 30-23. I will take the points.”

Final Score: Buccaneers 21, Seahawks 16

Did Colin Cowherd win? No

Denver Broncos (+3) at Tennessee Titans

Cowherd pick: Broncos

Final score prediction: Broncos 27, Titans 21

Cowherd said:

“I’ll take the points with the Broncos +3. Their defense is fantastic. I know you want to talk about Russell Wilson, but it’s number two in the NFL. This year, they’ve been fantastic against the run and pass. They are loaded all over the place. They felt they could even give up Bradley Chubb.

“And Ryan Tannehill’s missed the last two games for Tennessee with injuries. He was held under 200 yards passing in the three games before he was hurt. This offense is lost. I’ve got to take the points here. By the way, Denver’s coming off a bye. The Titans are coming off a road overtime loss. Rest and prep time leans Denver, I’m gonna take ‘em to win 27-21.

Final Score: Titans 17, Broncos 10

Did Colin Cowherd win? No

Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears (-2.5)

Cowherd pick: Bears

Final score prediction: Bears 31, Lions 24

Cowherd said:

“I like the Bears -2.5. First of all, Goff on the road, forget it. It’s awful. But this offense in the last three games with a young quarterback is on fire. Thirty-one (points) a game, that was a shootout against Miami. They’re running the football, therefore allowing Justin Fields to throw on second-and-five and third-and-three.

“The Bears offense this season, when it comes to rushing percentage and rushing yards per game, is number one. And the Lions under Dan Campbell are 0-11-1 on the road, and Goff is anemic. If you give him a little wind, if you give him a little pocket trouble, he’s not somebody good in crisis. I think the Bears win 31-24, and I think potentially, it could get really ugly in the second half.”

Final Score: Lions 31, Bears 30

Did Colin Cowherd win? No

Jacksonville Jaguars (+9) at Kansas City Chiefs

Cowherd pick: Jaguars

Final score prediction: Chiefs 33, Jaguars 28

Cowherd said:

“Jags +9 is the play here. Again, you wanna talk about Trever Lawrence. Three of the last four games, he didn’t have a turnover. He’s playing, actually, very well. He’s made mistakes – he’s a kid. But all six losses for the Jags are by one possession, it’s the eighth-ranked offense in the league, and Trevor Lawrence leads the NFL – he leads it – with three games with an 80-plus completion percentage. When the kid gets hot, he’s hot.

“The Chiefs, first of all, they’re bad against the spread this year. And their defense, be honest about it. You can push it around. You can score. I think the Chiefs win, but I think it’s close, and I’m gonna take the nine points. The Jags cover here, 33-28. I think it’ll be a wildly entertaining football game. A lot of points, a lot of big plays.”

Final Score: Chiefs 27, Jaguars 17

Did Colin Cowherd win? No

New Orleans Saints at Pittsburgh Steelers (+2)

Cowherd pick: Steelers

Final score prediction: Steelers 28, Saints 24

Cowherd said:

“The Steelers are coming off a bye; the Saints are on a short week. I’m gonna take Pittsburgh and the points at home. Kenny Pickett’s a kid. That extra time’s gonna be huge for him. And Mike Tomlin, off a bye, is 11-4. So, the veteran coach and the rookie quarterback get time. T.J. Watt returns. It’s a totally different defense with T.J. Watt.

“And right now, the Saints are a mess at the most important position: quarterback. Their turnover differential’s a disaster. I just don’t trust this team. I thought Monday night was, what do you do offensively after that? I’m gonna take the Steelers off the bye, 28-24, I am taking the points.

Final Score: Steelers 20, Saints 10

Did Colin Cowherd win? Yes

Week 10 Blazin’ 5 Record: 1-4

Colin Cowherd 2022 Blazin’ 5 Overall Record: 25-23-2

NFL Week 10 Expert Picks Roundup

Barstool Advisors

The Barstool Advisors’ crew of Stu Feiner, Dan ”Big Cat” Katz and Jerry “The Kid” Thornton publishes its favorite picks for the week, known as “Mortal Locks.”

Please remember that “mortal locks” are not guaranteed wins, and always remember to bet responsibly.

  • Feiner: New Orleans Saints (-2.5) at Pittsburgh Steelers – Loss
  • Big Cat: Indianapolis Colts (+6) at Las Vegas Raiders – Win
  • Jerry The Kid: Steelers team total over 19.5 – Win

Erin Dolan

Erin Dolan is active on Twitter and YouTube throughout the week, giving both picks and analyses to her followers.

She published a pair of props on Wednesday for the Thursday Night Football matchup between the Carolina Panthers and Atlanta Falcons, citing that the over/under line on Cordarrelle Patterson’s rushing total was worth jumping on before the market took it higher.

  • Cordarrelle Patterson: Over 51.5 rushing yards. (This jumped to 57.5 on Caesars Sportsbook by Thursday afternoon) – Loss. Patterson rushing total: 18 yards.
  • Falcons Team Total: Over 23.5 points – Loss. Falcons team total: 15 points

Though not a pick, Dolan came across another recent NFL trend: The Indianapolis Colts are 0-9 against the spread in the first half this season. She added that while she finds trends interesting, she does not advise blindly following them.

Dolan added two more picks Sunday morning. She also said that this week’s Buffalo Bills vs. Minnesota Vikings game was her least favorite in terms of betting lines. 

  • Justin Fields: Over 58.5 rushing yards – Win
  • Travis Kelce: Anytime to score a touchdown – Win

Eli Hershkovich

If you still don’t know about TheLines.com’s Eli Hershkovich, now’s the time to come out of hibernation. In week 9, Hershkovich went 3-1, bringing his 2022 record up to 34-20.

For Week 10, Hershkovich has two games with money already on the line.

  • Cleveland Browns (+4) at Miami Dolphins – Loss
  • Denver Broncos (+2.5) at Tennessee Titans – Loss

Lead image credit: Steve Luciano/AP

Colin Cowherd NFL Week 1 Blazin’ 5 Picks And Recap

Colin Cowherd makes his NFL Week 1 Blazin 5′ picks against the spread. Also includes odds and totals for all games at PA sportsbooks.

Colin Cowherd is back and so are his Blazin’ 5 picks for the 2022 NFL season. Before giving out his Week 18 picks last year, he said it was “the hardest year of gambling” he’s ever had. Cowherd was used to betting opening NFL lines but when COVID hit and caused players to be ruled out. he waited until Sunday morning.

“I like takin’ points. I take this stuff seriously,” said Cowherd on Friday about the start of a new year making NFL picks.

Can Cowherd bounce back? We post Colin Cowherd’s NFL picks every Friday so you can decide whether to follow or fade when betting on the NFL at PA sports betting apps. Then, on Monday we check in if Cowherd won or lost.

What is Colin Cowherd’s Blazin’ 5 record?

Cowherd’s Blazin’ 5 record 2019 to present:

  • 2021: 37-43-2
  • 2020: 40-41-2
  • 2019: 42-41-3

Colin Cowherd 2023 Super Bowl prediction

Prior to Week 1, Colin Cowherd picked the Buffalo Bills to beat the Los Angeles Rams in Super Bowl (odds +4000).

Colin Cowherd Blazin’ 5 2022 Week 1 NFL picks

The Herd with Colin Cowherd is a sports talk radio show on Fox Sports Radio and Fox Sports 1. Cowherd’s Blazin’ 5 airs Fridays on The Herd at 1 p.m. EST.

Cleveland Browns vs. Carolina Panthers (-.5)

Cowherd pick: Panthers

Final score prediction: Panthers 27, Browns 23

Cowherd said:

“I like Baker Mayfield at home against his ex-teammates. The Panthers had the most blown leads in the NFL last year (10). They were in a lot of games. Their defense is excellent – third fewest yards per-play allowed. Carolina has had back-to-back drafts I like. Cleveland is using career average backup. Baker has a history of being inspired for individual games.”

Final score: Browns 26, Panthers 24

Did Colin Cowherd win? No

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Detroit Lions (+4)

Cowherd pick: Lions +4

Final score prediction: Lions 27, Eagles 26

Cowherd said:

“Detroit +4 and you may be able to get +4.5. The Lions were 3-3 their final 6 games. Once Jared Goff got comfortable at the end of the year he completed 69% of his throws, 11 TDs and two picks. He was very good in his final five starts. They have two of the best tackles in football. The Eagles could not get to the quarterback last year and had the second fewest sacks. Detroit is an inspired football team. I’m going to take the Lions to win one of the more entertaining games of the weekend.”

Final score: Eagles 38, Lions 35

Did Colin Cowherd win? Yes

Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans (+7)

Cowherd pick: Texans

Final score prediction: Colts 24, Texans 23

Cowherd said:

“I know you think I’m nuts. I’m going to take the Texans. I like the number more at +7.5. Davis Mills was good last year. You just didn’t watch him play. He was a rookie. He was second among rookies for completion percentage, pass TDs, and passer rating. The Colts have lost 8 straight season openers. The Colts are on to another quarterback with Matt Ryan. They don’t really have a No. 2 receiver. I think the Colts will win the division but they are not dynamic offensively. Shut down Jonathan Taylor and there are limitations over the top on what they can do. Davis Mills is young and ascending. Matt Ryan is 35 and last year he really looked old. Too many points to lay in an in-division game.”

Final score: Colts 20, Texans 20

Did Colin Cowherd win? Yes

Jacksonville Jaguars (+2.5) vs. Washington Commanders

Cowherd pick: Jaguars

Final score prediction: Jaguars 28. Commanders 20

Cowherd said:

“Like it, I love it. Jaguars +2.5. I think they are going to win outright. They spent over  $300 million in free agency. Teams that spend that much usually improve. They got Trevor Lawrence, an offensive coach, Evan Engram at tight end, Zay Jones and Christian Kirk at wide receiver, and they have upgraded the offensive line. Carson Wentz, total disarray, for this franchise. It’s another quarterback, he didn’t have a great camp. A few months ago Alex Smith said ‘you can’t concentrate on football with this organization.’ The Commanders defense last year struggled against the pass. I think the Jags are one of the surprise teams in the league this year. They won’t be great but in that division, they will be a real threat week-to-week.”

Final score: Commanders 28, Jaguars 22

Did Colin Cowherd win? No

Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings (+1.5)

Cowherd pick: Vikings

Final score prediction: Vikings 26, Packers 23

Cowherd said:

“I’ve been on this one for six months, Vikings +1.5. I don’t know how they are getting points at home. They were in the most 1-possession games last year and that is with a lot of injuries and quarterback who didn’t feel supported. Kurt Cousins was one of two quarterbacks who had 30 TDs and less than 10 picks. Only Aaron Rodgers was the other quarterback who did that. The Packers are usually great at home but they were a 5-4 road team last year. They struggled through the years with Minnesota. Allen Lazard, Christian Watson, and Robert Tonyan are hurt. The Packers are beat up and don’t have a No. 1 receiver. I think the Vikings should be favored.”

Final score: Vikings 23, Packers 7

Did Colin Cowherd win? Yes

Week 1 Blazin’ 5 record: 3-2

Colin Cowherd 2022 Blazin’ 5 overall record: 3-2

NFL Week 2 lines at sportsbooks

Lead image The Heard on FS!

The Exciting Super Bowl History of our Two Keystone State NFL Franchises

With Neither Pennsylvania NFL team in SB 56, let’s look back at some of the better times involving the Super Bowl History of our PA teams.

The dawn of Super Bowl 56 prompts a flashback of the Keystone State’s rich Super Bowl history. With both PA teams making an early exit in this year’s playoffs, we wanted to cheer ourselves up a bit by looking at some of the better times when it comes to our Pennsylvania NFL teams and the big game.

Super Bowl 56 Betting Lines

Before we jump into the history of the Eagles & Steelers, we have compiled a list of the best betting lines at the top online sportsbooks in PA for those interested in betting on Super Bowl 56 in PA:


Super Bowl History – Keystone State of Champions

While the Pittsburg Steelers and  Philadelphia Eagles rarely play one another by virtue of being in different conferences, many Pennsylvania fans follow both teams.

They were once actually the same team.  The 1943 Steagles combined Philadelphia and Pittsburgh players, because World War II had diminished the pool of available athletes.

In the spirit of Steagles and for the pleasure of all Pennsylvania football fans, here’s a look at each team’s Super Bowl history. Let’s take a look back at the final scores, location, opponents, dates, attendance, and even the actual point spreads of these historic games.

  • The Pittsburgh Steelers are 6-2 in the Super Bowl, with their last triumph coming in 2009.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles are 1-2, with their victory coming in one of the most visually pleasing games ever.

Super Bowl IX – Steelers vs Vikings

  • Steelers 16, Minnesota Vikings 6
  • Tulane Stadium – New Orleans, Louisiana
  • January 12, 1975; Attendance: 80,997
  • Super Bowl 9 Betting Line: Pittsburgh -3

Projected as a low-scoring game because of Pittsburgh’s Steel Curtain and the Vikings’ Purple People Eaters defense.

Dwight White scored the first-ever Super Bowl points for Pittsburgh. He notched the first tally of the game, a safety.

Game MVP Franco Harris had a nine-yard touchdown run for the Steelers. This would be the first of four Super Bowl triumphs in the 1970s


Super Bowl X – Steelers vs Cowboys

  • Steelers 21, Dallas Cowboys 17
  • Orange Bowl, Miami, Florida
  • January 18, 1976; Attendance: 80,187
  • Super Bowl 10 Betting Line: Pittsburgh -7

The game featured three unbelievable catches by game MVP Lynn Swann, all bombs.

 One was a grab between two defenders as he tight roped to stay in bounds.

The second was the famed Levitating Leap, in which he maintained concentration after the pass was tipped by a defender, and he came down with it.

The third was Pittsburgh’s final touchdown, a 64-yard catch putting Pittsburgh up 21-10,

Pittsburgh quarterback Terry Bradshaw was knocked unconscious on the play and did not return.

The Steelers had to survive a last-second Hail Mary and end-zone tip to secure their second straight Super Bowl triumph.

A lasting image among Steelers faithful is Jack Lambert throwing Cliff Harris of the Cowboys down in the third quarter. Harris was taunting kicker Roy Gerela, who had just missed a field goal.


Super Bowl XIII – Steelers vs Cowboys

  • Steelers 35, Dallas Cowboys 31
  • Orange Bowl, Miami, Florida
  • January 21, 1979; Attendance: 79,484
  • Super Bowl 13 Betting Line: Pittsburgh -4

Known in Las Vegas as Black Sunday, when the books got muddled. The game opened at Pittsburgh -3.5 and Steelers bettors jumped on it.  The line expanded to Pittsburgh -4.5 and Dallas gamblers lit it up. The line came back to Pittsburgh -4. Bettors on both sides collected and the books were shellacked.

As for the game, Pittsburgh gained a 35-17 lead on two touchdowns by John Stallworth, one from Lynn Swann and Rocky Bleir, Dallas scored twice late to make the game look closer.

Swann had 124 yards and Stallworth 115. They became the first teammates to have 100 yards of receiving in the same Super Bowl.

Bradshaw threw for four touchdowns and was named MVP.


Super Bowl XIV – Steelers vs Rams

  • Steelers 31, Los Angeles Rams 19
  • Rose Bowl, Pasadena, California
  • January 20, 1980; Attendance: 103,985
  • Super Bowl 14 Betting Line: Pittsburgh -10.5

Again, showing they were a great fourth-quarter team, the Steelers overcame a 19-13 fourth-quarter deficit with two touchdowns. One was a 73-yard hookup between Terry Bradshaw and John Stallworth.

The finale was a one-yard touchdown run by Franco Harris with 1:49 remaining.

Bradshaw won a second straight game MVP award.

This cemented Pittsburgh’s status as the team of the 70’s. Although their subsequent slogan “One for the Thumb in ‘81”, the goal for a fifth Super Bowl ring, they had a remarkable decade.


Super Bowl XXX – Steelers vs Cowboys

  • Dallas Cowboys 27, Pittsburgh Steelers 17
  • Sun Devil Stadium, Tempe, AZ. 
  • January 28, 1996 Attendance 76,347
  • Betting Line: Dallas -13.5

The Steelers covered +13.5 and did come back from a 20-7 deficit to crawl within 20-17 on a Bam Morris touchdown run in the fourth quarter.

But a late pick-by-game MVP Larry Brown set up Dallas for a putaway score.

It was the first Super Bowl loss for the Steelers.


Super Bowl XL – Steelers vs Seahawks

  • Steelers 21, Seattle Seahawks 10
  • Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan
  • February 5, 2006; Attendance: 68,206
  • Super Bowl 40 Betting Line: Pittsburgh -4

Two Super Bowl milestones for Pittsburgh.

Running back Willie Parker exploded for a 75-yard scoring run, the longest in Super Bowl history.

Antwaan Randel El, who played quarterback while in college, later became the first wide receiver to throw a touchdown pass. After Willie Parker took a pitch from Ben Roethlisberger and handed it off, Randle El hit game MVP, Hines Ward, for the 43-yard putaway score.


Super Bowl XLIII – Steelers vs Cardinals

  • Steelers 27, Arizona Cardinals 23
  • Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida
  • February 1, 2009; Attendance: 70,774
  • Super Bowl 43 Betting Line: Pittsburgh -7

Take your pick of phenomenal plays.

Was it game MVP Santonio Holmes’ six-yard catch in the corner of the end zone for the eventual winning score?

Or was it the incredible 100-yard interception return by James Harrison on the final play of the first half? That boosted Pittsburgh’s lead from 10-7 to 17-7.

Steelers fans won’t mind the debate. What a choice.


Super Bowl XLV – Steelers vs Packers

  • Green Bay Packers 31, Pittsburgh Steelers 25
  • Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, Tx
  • Feb. 6, 2011. Attendance 103, 219
  • Super Bowl 45 Betting Line: Green Bay -3

The Steelers clawed back from a 21-3 deficit, pulling withing 28-25 on a Mike Wallace fourth-quarter touchdown.

Mason Crosby added a late field goal for Green Bay.

In a matchup of future Hall of Famers, quarterback Aaron Rodgers was not intercepted but Steelers’ QB Ben Roethlisberger was, twice. One went for a touchdown.


SUPER BOWL HISTORY: PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

While their SB history may not be as impressive as the Steelers, Philadelphia Eagles have an impressive NFL history or their own. You be the judge.

Super Bowl XV – Eagles vs Raiders

  • Oakland Raiders 27, Eagles 10
  • Superdome, New Orleans, La.
  • Jan. 26, 1981. Attendance 76,135
  • Super Bowl 15 Betting Line: Eagles -3

Known for big plays and missed opportunities.

An interception by eventual game  Rod Martin set Oakland up for the first score.

Later, Eagles quarterback Ron Jaworski threw a 40-yard touchdown pass to wide receiver Rodney Parker but the score was nullified by an illegal motion penalty on wide receiver Harold Carmichael and the Eagles ended up being forced to punt.

Rather than being tied 7-7, the Eagles remained behind.

With the Eagles trailing 24-3 in the second half, Martin picked Jaworski again in Oakland territory.

Super Bowl XXXIX – Eagles vs Patriots

New England Patriots 24, EAGLES 21

Alltel Stadium, Jacksonville, Fla.

Feb. 6, 2005. Attendance 78,125

Super Bowl 39 Betting Line: New England -7

One of the few Super Bowls tied at halftime, 14-14.

Donovan McNabb, Brian Westbrook, and Terrell Owens kept the Birds in it, but they came up just short.

The game is noted for the deliberate nature of an Eagles drive that chewed up much of the fourth-quarter clock when they trailed 24-14. They got the score but failed with the ensuing onside kick.

Irony: the Patriots got a touchdown from Mike Vrabel, now the coach of the Tennessee Titans.

The Patriots became the last team to win back-to-back Super Bowls.

And they almost did it again the following year until…

Super Bowl LII – Eagles vs Patriots – You Want Philly Philly?

  • EAGLES 41, New England Patriots 33
  • U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Feb. 4, 2018. Attendance 67,612
  • Betting Line: New England -4

The Eagles’ first Super Bowl title will be forever immortalized by the Philly Special.

Game MVP Nick Foles became the first quarterback to ever catch a Super Bowl touchdown. Cory Clement to Trey Burton to Foles slipping out of the backfield is one of the most iconic plays in Super Bowl history.

But there’s more.

The Eagles and Patriots set a Super Bowl record for combined yardage, 1,151, fewest punts (one), the most yards gained by a team (613) for New England) and most points scored by a losing team.

By standards of Philadelphia Eagles fans, it is about as perfect as a game can get.


Featured image credit: Rich Schultz – AP

Opinion: Ortiz Headlines Hall Of Fame 2022 Class, MLB Legends Get Shunned By Biased Writers

David Ortiz was the lone inductee in the MLB Hall Of Fame this year. Is MLB Hall Of Fame voting becoming too personal & petty?

Major League Baseball has a new Hall of Fame class. The votes have been counted up and David Ortiz is the headline act. Meanwhile, for an umpteenth consecutive year, the likes of Barry Bonds, Roger Clemens, and Curt Schilling all failed to make the 75% threshold – this time in their final year of eligibility for the MLB Hall of Fame. Many fans are mad, and they should be.

Why are we still using the same group of biased old-school sportswriters who seem to become increasingly petty every year? This year’s MLB Hall of Fame voting results prove more than ever, this system is outdated and flawed. Let’s take a closer look at Ortiz’s HOF selection and the writers who decided to pass on more deserving players.

Who Are These Writers Who Vote & Should This System Change?

Jayson stark mlb hall of fame
Jayson Stark is known as one of the few MLB HOF voters to remain unbiased and professional

In case you’re wondering who is on this clandestine committee who gets to pick and choose who goes to the Hall of Fame, it’s actually a group of voting members in the Baseball Writers’ Association of America (BBWAA). This year, there were 394 ballots submitted and players need to receive 75% of the votes, so that meant that they had to have 296 votes this year.

But a bigger question is who are these so-called Guardians of the Galaxy?

  • Are they people that we should, in fact, entrust with who gets enshrined?
  • Or is this an archaic system that needs to be changed to fit modern times?

In truth, many people feel that a change is coming. For many years, the writers of the BBWAA didn’t take analytics into account, so some players were left behind even though the game had become more advanced. That’s slowly changing now, though.

And now some are wondering just how fair they are treating some of the legends of the game like Bonds, Clemens and Schilling. This group seems quite biased against them – especially since guys like Bonds shunned much of the media for many years.

Is this their way of paying him back or is this a statement towards players in the steroid era? It’s hard to say. But, even Derek Jeter knows this to be true.

It does feel odd – maybe even uncomfortable – that a set number of writers, maybe who are a tad too full of themselves at times, get to choose who gets inside the pearly gates and who misses out. Is there really no better system?mlb hallf of fame ballot

At the end of the day, many other leagues do the same. For example, the NFL has a Selection Committee that makes the call and almost everyone there is in the media in some way. They just make their picks, though, while the baseball writers do a vote that gets publicized. It’s probably not the best system but it’s all we’ve got for now.

  • We can’t have former players voting because they’ll be biased.
  • We also can’t have league personnel and current coaching staff involved, because they’ll be biased too.
  • And we surely can’t have fans voting to make this important decision because we know how that will end up.

So what should be done? I’m not sure exactly, but things need to change.

Ortiz Makes The Cut In First Go – MLB Hall of Fame

This was the first time around that Boston Red Sox legend David Ortiz was on the ballot and he got enough votes to be welcomed to Cooperstown. Ortiz received 77.9% of the votes. It’s not a huge surprise as he had 541 home runs in his career and only 34 other players in the game have ever created more runs. And by the way, each of those 34 players are in the Hall of Fame.

The main question with Big Papi is did he do enough in the field? If you take a look at his Wins-Above-Replacement (WAR), it might make you think that he doesn’t deserve to be there. After all, he was a designated hitter and he didn’t do much – if anything – in the field. However, the DH is a job in baseball and Big Papi wore it about as well as anyone we’ve ever seen.

What really cemented not only Ortiz’s invitation to the Hall but also his legacy was his performance in the playoffs. He was one of the most clutch hitters in the game when the lights were brightest. He batted .289 in the playoffs with 17 home runs, 61 RBI’s, and 51 runs. And don’t forget that he was one of the most instrumental players in overturning the Boston Red Sox curse. In one of the most critical playoff series in franchise history – the 2004 ALCS against the rival New York Yankees – he batted .387 with three jacks and 11 RBI’s – two of which were walk-offs – in seven games.

The main concern here is that Ortiz was linked to Performance-Enhancing Drugs but most of the voters overlooked that. It’s a bit difficult to explain when you see who didn’t get in.

2022 MLB Hall Of Fame Voting Count


mlb hall fo fame votes 2022


Bonds, Clemens, Sosa & Schilling Don’t Make The Cut

Two of the players who are most synonymous with PED’s – Barry Bonds and Roger Clemens – didn’t make the cut. It was their 10th and final year in the running, so that was it. Curt Schilling, one of baseball’s greatest pitchers of all time is another MLB legend who was on his last year eligibility and didn’t make it. But why? He never had any ties to steroids or cheating. Is the MLB Hall of Fame voting becoming too personal and do the writers who actually place the votes have too much power? We think so.

It is a bit surprising that Ortiz eased in right away and he had issues but these players did not. Each of these three players are legends in Major League Baseball. If there ever was a book written on the game with all of the seasons in it, these would be main characters. Many players used PED’s in the “Steroid Era” but only a few are being scapegoated.

Which Players Have Future Hopes?

Ortiz was the only inductee this year but many players don’t make it on their first go. That’s likely going to be the case with a number of players and the early voting shows that.

Scott Rolen received 249 votes, which was 63.2% of the vote. That’s a really good sign and he’ll probably make the cut either next year or shortly after. Andruw Jones and Todd Helton are basically in the same category. Jones and Rolen should continue to get strong love from the analytics community, which is only growing.

It will be interesting to see what happens with Carlos Beltran next year. There have been questions about PED’s and he was also busted in the sign-stealing incident of the Houston Astros. We’ll have to see what the voters decide to do with him.


Featured image credit: Marcio Jose Sanchez, Steven Senne, Pablo Monsivais – AP

Editor’s Note: The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect PlayPennsylvania’s position.

Daily Dose of The Hottest Props, Parlays & Odds Boosts

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Betting Props, Daily Offers & Exclusive Odds Boost for January 27, 2022

Almost every PA sports betting app offers a variety of daily offers and sportsbook promos in PA, but sometimes you miss them because of their quick turnover rate. So, let’s take a look:

BETMGM – NBA & NHL Cross-Sport Parlays:

Cross-Sport Parlay: 76ers & Penguins both to win (+135)

    • Joel Embiid looks to continue his MVP campaign, and a win versus LeBron James and the Lakers on national television could help cement him as the voting favorite.
    • In his last four games, Embiid is averaging 42.5 points per game and 12.8 rebounds.
    • With a win, the 76ers can tie the Brooklyn Nets for first place in the Atlantic Division. 
    • Winners of six straight and 10 of 12, the Penguins host the expansion Seattle Kraken. Pittsburgh is averaging 3.4 goals per game, while the Kraken are allowing 3.6 goals per game, tied for 29th in the league.

NBA Parlay: Lakers & Warriors both to win (+450)

    • LeBron and the Lakers travel to Philadelphia for a date with Joel Embiid and the 76ers. The Lakers are currently ninth in the Western Conference at 24-24 but are getting healthier with Anthony Davis returning in their last game.
    • The Warriors will look to build on their current three-game winning streak in the nightcap of the NBA Thursday night doubleheader on TNT. The Warriors have been bitten by the injury bug of late and will be without Draymond Green (back) and Andre Iguodala (hip) while still working back Klay Thompson, who recently returned from a 941-day stretch without a game.

DRAFTKINGS – Lakers vs 76ers:

  • Lake Show: Lakers to win by 10+ points (+425)
    • Can LeBron and the Lakers blow out the 76ers? If the Lakers are able to work the ball down low to Anthony Davis and get Joel Embiid into foul trouble, maybe they’re able to name their own score. 
  • Who won the trade?: D’Angelo Russell & Andrew Wiggins to combine for 40+ points (+190)
    • The Warriors and Timberwolves struck a deal swapping these two before the 2020 trade deadline. Russell is averaging 19.1 points per game this year while Wiggins is averaging 18.1 points per game. 
  • Cover Boy: Jack Hughes to record 2+ points (+450)
    • Hughes and the Devils travel to Tampa to take on the Lightning. He has registered a point in four straight games and in nine of his last 11 game

FANDUEL – Australia Open Action:

  • Odds Boost: Rafa Nadal to Win 3-0 in sets (+340)
    • Nadal is seeking his second career Australia Open title and will face off against the seventh-ranked player in the world Matteo Berrettini. Nadal, the fifth-ranked player in the world, won the Australian Open in 2009 and is seeking his 21st Grand Slam title.

FOXBET – Embiid Dunks on Betting Props:

  • Bet Boost: Pulisic to score and USA to win (+160)
    • The Central Pennsylvania native is the new face of USA soccer. Pulisic has scored a total of 17 international goals in his career but has only scored once in this Final Round of World Cup Qualifiers.
  • Triple Your Money: Joel Embiid & Karl-Anthony Towns 1+ Dunk Each (+200)
    • If you need some extra incentive to watch the NBA Thursday Night Doubleheader on TNT, then this Bet Boost might be the way to do it. Everyone loves to see the big man slam it down, and if both Embiid & KAT can give you one each, then you win.

BET RIVERS – All-Around Action:

  • Grand Salami: Over 65.5 Total Goals Scored in All Thursday NHL Action, Including OT/SO (+100)
    • Love the Grand Salami. Why bet one game, when you can bet them all with BetRivers Sportsbook in PA? There are 10 games slated for tonight and if we can get some goals from some of the heavy favorites, we’re looking at you Carolina, Pittsburgh and Tampa, then we can get the Grand Salami to hit.  
  • Upset Alert?!: Minnesota to Win versus #16 Ohio State and O138.5 Total Points (+525)
    • The Golden Gophers have come back down to earth after their 6-0 start to the season when they host the Buckeyes in Big Ten action. Ohio State enters tonight with a two-game winning streak after falling to Wisconsin last week. Minnesota holds a 6-3 record at home this year.

Featured image credit: Charles Rex Arbogast – AP

Props, Parlays & Odds Boosts, Oh My.! Get Em While They’re Hot…

Check out today’s hottest sportsbook promos in PA, Wednesday 26, 2022. So if something jumps out at you, don’t hesitate to make your move!

Almost every PA sports betting app offers a variety of daily offers and sportsbook promos in PA that are different from all the other Pennsylvania online sportsbooks. We’re talking about the ever-changing, limited-time-only promos that can only be used on specific games or a specific sport that same day.

Hottest Daily Sportsbook Promos in PA

These offers tend to be very popular, but they only last for so long. It’s hard to separate the best from the rest in time to take advantage of the offers you prefer. So, we are going to take a look at the hottest props, parlays & odds boosts that are being offered to us by several of the top sportsbooks across the state of Pennsylvania.

All of these offers are for games that take place today, Wednesday, 26 2022. So if something jumps out at you, don’t hesitate to make your move!

BETMGM 

Visit BetMGM Sportsbook to take advantage of these daily promotions:

  • Cross-Sport Parlay: Blackhawks & Bulls both to win (+210)

    • The Chicago Blackhawks travel to Detroit trying to snap a four-game losing streak. Detroit Redwings won the first meeting back in October by the final of 6-3. Chicago has struggled with a 7-12-4 road record this year, while Detroit is 13-6-3 at the Little Caesars Arena. 
    • The Bulls host the Toronto Raptors in a battle of Eastern Conference foes. Chicago is looking to get back to full strength with several contributors on the shelf. Zach LaVine returned in Chicago’s previous game and DeMar DeRozan should return after resting on Monday.
  • Cross-Sport Parlay: Nuggets & Avalanche both to win (+195)

    • Denver Nuggets will play game two of their current six-game road trip traveling to the Barclays Center to square off with James Harden and the Brooklyn Nets. Denver looks to build on its two-game winning streak and 7-3 record in their last 10. Brooklyn has dropped two straight and will be without Kevin Durant (knee) and Kyrie Irving (ineligible). 
    • The Colorado Avalanche have been the hottest team in the NHL, earning points in 13 straight games, winners in 12 of their last 13. During their seven-game win streak, the Avs have limited their opponents to just nine goals, including three shutouts. Boston is kicking off a three-game road trip tonight and currently sits 4th in the Atlantic Division.

FOX BET

Visit FOX Bet Sportsbook to take advantage of these daily sportsbook promos in PA:

  • Bet Boost: $20 Bet Pays $110 – Nikola Jokic & Caris LeVert 1+ Dunk Each (+450)
    • Jokic, the reigning MVP, should have plenty of opportunities, with Durant (knee) and Paul Millsap (personal) out. LeVert is having a strong year, averaging 18.5 points per game. In his last 10 games, LeVert is playing an average of 33.9 minutes per game.
  • Bet Boost: 6X Your MoneyMatthew Tkachuk & Alex Debrincat Each to Score a Goal (+500)
    • Tkachuk and the Calgary Flames travel to Columbus fresh off a 7-1 route of the St. Louis Blues. Tkachuk had scored in four straight before his five assists night versus the Blues. Debrincat paces the Blackhawks with 24 goals, fifth in the league, but has been held scoreless in five of his last six. 

FANDUEL

Visit FanDuel Sportsbook to take advantage of these daily promotions:

  • NHL Odds Boost: Florida Panthers or Tampa Bay Lightning to win 2021/2022 Presidents’ Trophy (+340)
    • The Panthers (63 points) and Lightning (61 points) currently sit first and third overall in the NHL in Points. Both teams have played 43 games and so have the New York Rangers, who are fourth, with 60 points. Second in the NHL in points are the Colorado Avalanche, who sit with 61 points but have three games in hand. The Avalanche is also on an impressive run, winning 12 of 13.   

DRAFTKINGS

Visit DraftKings Sportsbook to get in on these popular sportsbook promos in PA:

  • Odds Boost: From Downtown – Devin Booker to record 5+ Three’s (+550)
    • Boosted up from +450, Booker and the Suns travel to Utah to take on a struggling Jazz team, having dropped eight of 10. Booker isn’t afraid to chuck it from downtown, in his last six games, Booker is averaging 9.7 three-point attempts. 
  • Odds Boost: Bing Bong – Julius Randle to record 20+ points & 10+ rebounds (+475)
    • Boosted up from +400, Randle has only achieved this in three of his last nine games. Randle is more than capable of this feat, as he had a stretch in late December where he hit this in five of six. 
  • Odds Boost: Selke a Hart and a Norris – Patrice Bergeron, Nathan MacKinnon & Cale Maker over 3.5 combines points (+120)
    • Boosted from +100, if you think the nightcap on TNT will see a lot of goals, then this prop is for you. In their last six games, Bergeron has four points (1 goal, 3 assists), MacKinnon has eight points (3 goals, 5 assists), although he hasn’t scored a goal in his last four games, and Maker has four points, all of them assists. 

Featured image credit: Kathy Willens – AP

The PGA Farmers Insurance Open Kicks Off With Top Names & Big Bet Opportunities

The PGA Farmers Insurance Open kicks off on Wednesday, January 26. Big bet opportunities with the top-ranking golfers competing.

The PGA continues the California stretch of their 2022 schedule this week as they head to Torrey Pines, in La Jolla, California for the Farmers Insurance Open.

The PGA has altered their traditional Thursday through Sunday tee times due to Sunday’s NFL Conference Championship doubleheader. The first round of the Farmers Insurance Open will tee off on Wednesday, January 26 with the final round concluding on Saturday, January 29

The winner of the Farmers Insurance Open will also receive 500 FedExCup points.

Farmers Insurance Open Winner Odds – Top 10 Favorites

Top Ranked Golfers Create Action for Sports Bettors

The tournament features some of the top names in the sport, with 17 of the top 25 ranked golfers teeing off. 

Jon Rahm, Dustin Johnson, Justin Thomas, Xander Schauffele, and Bryson DeChambeau, all ranked in the top 10 in the Official World Golf rankings, will be hitting the links at Torrey Pines

Other notable names that will be teeing off this week are Jordan Spieth, Brooks Koepka, Hideki Matsuyama, and Phil Mickelson

With all the talent entered in this tournament, there will be an opportunity to find plenty of value in the PA sports betting market. Check out the odds on your favorite PA sports betting apps to see what bets you want to make.

Which PGA Golfer Should Get Your Bet?

Two of the first things that I look at when betting on the PGA, are recent form and course form. The recent form is obviously how the golfer has performed in his most recent outings. Course form looks at how a golfer performs on that specific course. 

Jon Rahm

Jon Rahm, the number one ranked golfer in the world, will be playing in his third tournament of the calendar year, and can be considered a “horse for the course.”

  • He finished second at the Sentry Tournament of Champions shooting 33-under par and finished off this past week at the American Express with a 14-under par, tied for 14th, nine strokes back. 
  • Rahm opened as a +750 favorite on BetMGM and has a good history at Torrey Pines, having won the Farmers Insurance Open in 2017, taking second place in 2020, and finishing T7 last year.
  • He also won the 2021 U.S. Open which was held at Torrey Pines.
  • DraftKings Sportsbook also posts “To Finish” props, which gives you an option to bet on a golfer to finish in the Top 5, Top 10, Top 20 or even Top 40.
  • You can get plus money on Rahm to finish in the Top 5 (+160). A bet on Rahm to finish Top-10 will cost you -125. 

Hideki Matsuyama

Looking at players with strong recent form, Matsuyama has also had a solid start to the 2021-2022 season.

  • He fired a 23-under at the Sony Open in Hawaii two weeks ago, defeating Russell Henley in a playoff.
  • Matsuyama also finished 13th at the Sentry Tournament of Champions with a 21-under par and also won the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP back in October. 
  • Matsuyama is currently listed at 21-1 on FanDuel, however, in his last two outings at the Farmers Insurance Open, he placed 53rd and 45th. 

Jason Day

If you want to look a little farther down the PA sports betting odds board, you can take a look at Jason Day, who is a two-time winner at this event and has five Top 10 finishes.

  • DraftKings is offering Day at 100-1 odds.
  • However, Day has missed the cut three times since 2013.

Brandt Snedeker

  • Another two-time winner Brandt Snedeker has the longest odds of former winners, currently sitting at 110-1 on DraftKings. 
  • Snedeker won the tournament in 2012 & 2016.

Other Notable Golfers

Defending champion Patrick Reed (50-1 at DraftKings), Marc Leishman (40-1 on DraftKings), and Justin Rose (66-1 on BetMGM) are all former winners of the Farmers Insurance Open.

Leishman is an interesting consideration to finish in the Top 10. Along with his 2020 win, he has a pair of second-place finishes (2010, 2013). You can bet Leishman at DraftKings +500 to place Top 5, +250 to finish Top 10, and +110 to finish Top 20.

Phil Mickelson is a three-time winner here at the Farmers Insurance Open, however those three wins came over 20 years ago (2001, 2000, 1993).

  • Phil finished T30 at the Sentry two weeks ago, but this past week, Phil shot an uninspiring 7-over par and missed the cut.
  • While Phil doesn’t have a lot of recent success here, aside from a 2nd place in 2011 and 14th in 2017, he also has five missed cuts or withdrawals since 2012.
  • Phil does have 13 Top 25 finishes and has made the cut in 22 of 30 appearances.
  • You can get 160-1 odds on the leftie at FanDuel. 

Other notable odds to win:

  • Justin Thomas (12-1 on DraftKings)
  • Xander Schauffele (17-1 at FanDuel)
  • Bryson DeChambeau (22-1 at DraftKings)
  • Dustin Johnson (22-1 at DraftKings)
  • Brooks Koepka (36-1 at FanDuel)
  • Jordan Speith (40-1 at BetMGM)

PGA Odds – Farmers Insurance Props & Head 2 Head

DraftKings doesn’t just offer individual player odds for this week’s tournament, you can also play several props. 

  • Will there be a Playoff? Yes is +300 and the No is -450.
  • Will there be a Hole in One? Yes, is -200 and the No is +140. I call this one the “No Fun Bet.”
  • You can also bet if there will be a Wire to Wire winner at 12-1 odds. 

DraftKings also has matchups for your betting pleasure. 

The trio of John Rahm (+120), Justin Thomas (+210) and Xander Schauffele (+230) are grouped together in a matchup. 

If you would rather have all three of them in your pocket instead of picking one to finish better than the other two, you can get a nice juicy price of +275 if either of them wins the tournament. 

The folks at FoxBet have a bunch of head-to-head matchups as well that you can take advantage of. The option to bet a tie is available for every matchup at 16-1. 

  • Dustin Johnson (-105) vs. Hideki Matsuyama (+100)
  • Xander Schauffele (-118) vs. Bryson DeChambeau (+110) 
  • Jon Rahm (-138) vs. Justin Thomas (+130)
  • Jordan Spieth (+100) vs. Brooks Koepka (-105)

You can also bet ties at 16-1 for each matchup. 

With so many different ways to bet on golf, it’s the perfect bridge to get us through the week and into the weekend, just in time for the NFL Conference Championships. 


Feature image credit: Chris Carlson – AP

When Is The Best Time To Place a Sports Bet? Well, It Depends…

The best time to place a sports bet? The earlier the better? That last-minute gut feeling? In-game odds shark? Here’s our advice…

It’s the most simple, complex, and yet most significant word in the lexicon of legalized sports betting.

“When” – As in “when is the best time to place a bet?”

It’s become an intriguing question in an age for which the answer has changed. Timing a bet is no longer simple.

Is There A Best Time To Place A Bet?

The initial answer:

  • Whenever one feels the price is fair, the outcome is realistic, or, best yet, whenever one perceives an edge.

The deeper answer:

  • It’s important for a bettor’s research to reveal a feel for a game now that PA sportsbooks have substantially enlarged the board.
  • When all of one’s hunches line up, that’s the “when” it’s probably the best time to place a bet.

There is no longer one sports betting line for a game. There are close to 500 possibilities for just one NFL contest. Multiply that by 16 games and one can peruse up to 8,000 choices in any NFL week.

This allows more sports betting options but requires a gambler to narrow the choices. This is a big part of determining when to play.

Drilling Down to The Sweet Spot

The new array of choices, born from competition among books, requires due diligence to determine the moment of a bet launch.

Let’s start with the NFL…

See The Game First

It’s best to first have an opinion on the game first and then seek the line.

Examine the teams straight up, as if everyone would play, and incorporate a slight home-field advantage for the host team.

Come up with the score you think is possible if both teams played to the level you think they should.

Then see the line. If there is a considerable disparity, there is your edge. If there’s a Grand Canyon-like disparity, say a touchdown or more, there’s a good chance you missed something like an injury or suspension. Recalculate.

This is no different than reading a Racing Form and watching a post-parade to determine one’s opinions in a horse race. Or, for that matter, interviewing job candidates in the business world.

The Early Bird

A good time to unload some of the bankroll is Sunday night for the following week’s games.  Books have just posted them based on power ratings and data. 

These lines have likely not been addressed yet by big-money “sharp” players, a historical dynamic. They are waiting to make one big pop.

For decades prior to PASPA repeal, serious Las Vegas gamblers paid for the privilege of standing in line on Sunday night to get the first shot at newly-posted odds for the following week.

 They immediately started wagering, giving the books a guide to how “sharp” bettors viewed the game. Operators adjusted the line and it often stayed near that new spot the entire week. The betting odds throughout the week were referred to as “The Line”.

There’s no more “The”. Lines are numerous and volatile. That’s why it’s important to hone in on one you like.

Shop The Sportsbooks

BetMGM and FanDuel are usually one-half a point difference on the early NFL lines than DraftKings. This is perfect for a bettor. One book has the underdog +3. Another has the same at +2.5 and you like the favorite. Go where you have the edge.

Here are some examples featuring a variety of NFL divisional round betting odds:

The Mid-Week Move

When spreads fluctuate throughout the week, injuries are often involved. 

Quarterbacks are usually worth three points to the line. Exceptions like Patrick Mahomes and Aaron Rodgers can be eight or nine points. Has the line moved too much either way according to your expectations? This can be a time to buy-in. 

A general guide on injuries: a player listed as doubtful will rarely suit up, a player listed as questionable usually will, but at reduced capacity. Hamstring and high-ankle sprain injuries are punitive. Rib injuries are bad too. Players may perform through these, but their output may be a bit low.

The Late Move

This is where data intersects with instinct. The absence of Lamar Jackson of the Baltimore Ravens moved the line in the neighborhood of four points when it was announced on game day in a couple of games this year.

But here’s what savvy bettors realized: Tyrone Huntley is nearly as good as Jackson. He runs nearly as well as Jackson and throws a better deep ball. With Jackson out, the Ravens covered the spread in one-point losses to the Los Angeles Rams and Green Bay Packers. The Jackson injury news had helped keep the lineup, making the Ravens attractive.

Weather belongs in this category too.  December games involve rain, wind, and snow. Wind changes totals (over/under bets) the most.

The “when” question for the New England Patriots-Buffalo Bills game a few weeks back was prominent. 

Three days before the event, the over-under was roughly seven points higher than at kickoff. Wind gusts of 40mph reduced the effectiveness of both offenses. It was in the forecast three days earlier but didn’t hit the lines until one day before the game.

Sharp bettors rode the under into a payday.

In-Game

This is “when” on steroids for many gamblers. American bettors are catching up to the European phenomenon, in which perhaps 75% of all wagers occur in-game.

Here’s the in-game betting reality: you can’t get ahead of the books. The key to finding value is to make a leap of faith.

Here are two examples:

When the Kansas City Chiefs faced the Los Angeles Chargers a couple of weeks back, they trailed 14-13 in the fourth quarter. The favored Chiefs were at +240. That made no sense until you realized the Chargers were at the Chiefs 1-yard line, about to punch it in.

One play later, the Chargers fumbled. The Chiefs recovered. Great time to jump on the Chiefs now, right? But the books denied it. That game came off the board almost faster than the fumble came out.

 One moment later, the Chiefs were -135.

Result: that bet had to be made when the Chargers had the ball, and that would have been a tough bet to make. Anybody who made the wager prospered, however. The Chiefs did win in overtime.

Last year, the New York Mets were playing the Boston Red Sox. New York was +340 at DraftKings in a tie game and the Red Sox had the bases loaded with one out in the fifth inning. The pitcher threw a double-play ball, the Mets get out of the inning and their odds plummeted to -120. Two outs, 220 basis points. That’s living on the edge.

The reward was playing the Mets when the bases were loaded. The risk was that an extra-base hit would have broken the game open against them. They later won.

These are tough decisions for players. The books anticipate faster than the gamblers can.

How to contest it: think longer. Some oddsmakers advise watching one complete series in a football game. See which team looks like it showed up and then make a moneyline or spread bet.

What’s In Your Database? Patterns.

This may be one’s best ally in determining “when” to bet. Patterns reveal insight that only you have and should be trusted regarding how you bet.

Watch enough games, interpret enough past performances and you will see a pattern that says “I have seen this game before.”

It can be anything.

The Philadelphia Eagles’ slow first halves, followed by strong second halves, became betting opportunities in recent weeks. Take opposite teams to win each half. It worked three weeks in a row.

The Pittsburgh Steelers are just average, but they went 6-0-1 in their last seven home games, all low scoring. They were suddenly playing a Cleveland Browns team that was eliminated from the playoffs this past week.  It was Ben Roethlisberger’s last game at Heinz Field.

Where was the value? Pittsburgh won the race to 10, 15, and 20 points. Their 26-14 triumph provided separate winning bets at all three junctures, ranging from +125 to +175 across the books. It was a good bet to make, along with the moneyline.

Some Hunches Are Hidden Gold

New England quarterback Mac Jones looked as poised as the Dallas Cowboys Dak Prescott when the New England Patriots lost an overtime game to become 2-4.

But the Patriots had found something. And so did bettors who sensed this team was ready to break out. They went on to win, and cover, for seven subsequent weeks. What kept the line down was that the Patriots were perceived as a mediocre team based on record. But they were really a strong team and betting lines eventually reflected that. But for seven weeks, Pats bettors had some ride.

That’s the advantage of instinct over data. Data is no match for momentum.

The Information Base for Other Sports

Think patterns.

NHL – When the TIME is just right

The NHL is all about props. For several games, Conor McDavid of the Edmonton Oilers tallied at home. With that hook, a bettor can time other wagers around it.

  • McDavid to score first was roughly +800 across the books. 
  • To score last (empty-net goals?) was bout the same.
  • Or to score anytime was +100 or +105.
  • For him to score and the Oilers to win in 60 minutes often paid in the +300 range.

That worked much of last season and early this year. And then suddenly, he grew cold. That’s what happens.

NBA – Who is playing? Who is sitting?

The best time to place a bet on NBA games is usually right before tip-off. There is a tangible “when” bet here.

Check the injury reports in the final hour before the game. Players coast through the season and just decide not to play some nights. This affects over-under, moneylines, and totals.

There’s an element of “catch up” here too. Personal example: I rode the over on many NBA games in the 205-212 range for the early part of the season. It did well. Many games have since been pushed up into the 225-235 range.

I can’t get a feel for it now. That’s no-bet territory until I match up more patterns.

MLB – Use Futures to Help Isolated Bets

When it comes to baseball, the best time to place a bet usually depends on isolation. Make some season-long win-total props at the books and watch the patterns of the teams. Patterns do emerge.

The Los Angeles Dodgers, for instance, have a scheduling quirk. They play many four-game series.  Their season-long pattern was often to split the first two games of a series and win the final two. If you watch it long enough and feel confident, that can be wagered into.

The Colorado Rockies were a bad road team and an awesome home team last season. One profitable angle was to take them to win each individual home series. The “when” in this case, was before the first game.

Best Time To Place A Bet? – SIZE MATTERS

Across the books, the question of when to bet has never been important, and never more individualized. But the bigger one’s database, the better the chance to find an opportunity.

One can peruse numerous websites to get someone else’s pick. One can subscribe to handicappers who charge for their five-star selections and if that helps, fine.

But the real edge, the inside track, is the one individual bettors create for themselves. That guides the “when”.

Good luck with yours.


Featured image credit: Steven Senne – AP

Blazin’ 5 Wild Card Picks: Colin Cowherd Has Winning Weekend

Colin Cowherd Blazin 5 picks wild card games ATS from the Fox Bet sports betting app. He likes the Eagles, Bengals, Pats, Niners and Rams.

Colin Cowherd made his Blazin’ 5 Wild Card weekend picks and even though his two “strongest plays” (Philadelphia Eagles +8.5 and New England +4) were losers, he managed to finish the weekend 3-2.

We track Colin Cowherd’s Blazin’ 5 picks so you can decide whether to follow or fade when betting on the NFL at PA sports betting apps.

Cowherd’s Blazin’ 5 record 2019 to present:

  • 2021: 37-43-2
  • 2020: 40-41-2
  • 2019: 42-41-3

Colin Cowherd Blazin’ 5 Wild Card picks

The Herd with Colin Cowherd is a sports talk radio show on Fox Sports Radio and Fox Sports 1. Cowherd’s Blazin’ 5 airs Fridays on The Herd at 1 p.m. EST.

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Cincinnati Bengals (-5.5)

Cowherd pick: Bengals

Final score prediction: Bengals 32, Raiders 27

Cowherd said:

“It’s a matchup of teams with the most penalty yards (Raiders) and the fewest (Bengals). I worry the Raiders defense was on the field for 90 snaps and then they lose a day with travel. Joe Burrow, you can look at the numbers, has been absolutely unbelievable The Raiders are the first team in NFL history to end a season with four straight wins of four points or fewer. I kinda feel like the jig is up. They’ve also only scored only 17 offensive touchdowns over the last 10 weeks, the fewest among all playoff teams. I think a worn down defense gets exposed in the second half.”

Final score: Bengals 26, Raiders 19

New England Patriots (+4) vs. Buffalo Bills

Cowherd pick: Patriots

Final score prediction: Bills 28, Patriots 27

Cowherd said:

“I’m going to take the points here. Belichick gets Josh Allen for a third time. New Engalnd has 24 rushing touchdowns, 2nd most in the league. It’s zero degrees, I don’t think there is going to be a ton of points. The Bills are 0-5 in games decided by one possession. Josh Allen versus the Patriots is 3-4 with a 57.1 completion percentage. He’s not been very good against the Patriots. I think it’s ugly and low-scoring. I’ll take the Bills to win on a late field goal but this is my strongest play of the weekend. I like New England plus the points.”

Final score: Bills 47, Patriots 17

Philadelphia Eagles (+8.5) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Cowherd pick: Eagles

Final score prediction: Buccaneers 27, Eagles 24

Cowherd said:

“This is my second-strongest play of the weekend, I like the Eagles +8.5. They (the Eagles) don’t make mistakes and Brady does. Philadelphia, right now….this is a fascinating one. In the last ten games, the Eagles are 7-3, with 28.5 ppg and 20 points allowed. The Bucs are also 7-3 with 27.3 ppg and 20.6 points allowed. The Eagles offense averages almost 3-and-a-half yards per-carry before contac…that leads the league. Brady has 15 giveaways this year, that’s the most for him in 12 years. Tampa is still banged up, does not have a consistent run game, the weather could be windy and that hurts the more vertical passing team. I think Tampa wins here, but +8.5 against the team that consistently gets over 10 yards a carry…I think it’s close.”

Final score: Buccaneers 31, Eagles 15

San Francisco 49ers (+3) vs. Dallas Cowboys

Cowherd pick: 49ers

Final score prediction: 49ers 28, Cowboys 27

Cowherd said:

“Went back and forth and gotta go with my initial instinct, I’m taking San Francisco +3 and the upset win. The road team has won 10 of 14 wild card games in the last three years. The offense for San Francisco leads the NFL…huge stat, yards-per-play (6.1). 49ers offense, hottest it’s been all year…3 of the last four games 150+ rushing. Oh, by the way all you Jimmy Garropollo haters, it’s insane. Since Week 9, he’s second in the league in completion percentage, 1st in passing-yards-per-attempt, 1st in big passing plays. Since Thanksgiving, he’s a Top 5 clutch quarterback in the leageand the Cowboys are 1-5 when they are held under 100 rushing yards and it’s hard to get to 100 against the Niners defense.”

Final score: 49ers 23, Cowboys 17

Arizona Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Rams (-4)

Cowherd pick: Rams

Final score prediction: Rams 31, Cardinals 26

Cowherd said:

“This is my weakest bet of the weekend. A couple things worry me. Arizona’s defense has not been good. Six yards a play surrended in their last five games. Ten of the Rams 12 wins came by seven points or more. They get it going, they get a lead, they rarely lose. Kyler Murray is 1-5 verus the Rams with a 62.3 completion percentage and 9 giveaways. He has struggled against this Rams personell.”

Final score: Rams 34, Cardinals 11

Colin Cowher Wild Card record: 3-2

Colin Cowherd picks 2021 Blazin’ 5 overall record (not including playoffs): 37-43-2

Lead image Matt Rourke/AP

NFL Week 18 Blazin’ 5 Picks End Colin Cowherd’s “Hardest Year of Gambling”

Colin Cowherd picks Week 18 Blazin’ 5 ATS from the Fox Bet sports betting app betting odds. He likes the Cowboys, Raiders, Falcons, Dolphins.

It’s the last week of the regular season and Colin Cowherd’s Blazin’ 5 (35-41-1) has no chance of finishing with a winning record.

He already has excuses ready for his subpar showing.

Before giving out his Week 18 picks Cowherd was in a reminiscent mood on Friday’s episode of “The Herd.” He recalled going to Stardust Casino in Vegas on Sunday night (or Monday night) to bet the opening NFL lines.

“That’s how I bet my whole life (opening lines.) Then COVID hit. Now you have to wait until Sunday morning because players are coming in and out and the whole thing for me has gone upside down. You can say it’s just an excuse. It’s the hardest year of gambling I’ve ever had,” said Cowherd.

What is Colin Cowherd’s Blazin’ 5 record?

We track Colin Cowherd’s Blazin’ 5 picks so you can decide whether to follow or fade when betting on the NFL at PA sports betting apps.

Cowherd’s Blazin’ 5 record 2019 to present:

  • 2021: 37-43-2
  • 2020: 40-41-2
  • 2019: 42-41-3

Colin Cowherd Blazin’ 5 Week 18 NFL picks

The Herd with Colin Cowherd is a sports talk radio show on Fox Sports Radio and Fox Sports 1. Cowherd’s Blazin’ 5 airs Fridays on The Herd at 1 p.m. EST.

Dallas Cowboys (-4.5) vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Cowherd pick: Cowboys

Final score prediction: Cowboys 27, Eagles 20

Cowherd said:

“I initially liked the Eagles but they got 16 players on the COVID list. I’m going to take the Cowboys. Their defense leads the NFL in interceptions takeaways, third-down conversions. Jalen Hurts, who is still struggling, let’s be honest, he ranks 28th in passing, it’s gonna be hard on 3rd down. The Cowboys are athletic and rangy and they beat him the first time they played him. Dak against the NFC East is 24-4 with 50 TDs and 15 picks, he eats them alive. The Eagles have 16 players on COVID, they are 0-6 when facing a team with a winning record.”

Final score: Cowboys 51, Eagles 26

Did Cowherd win? Yes

New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons (+3.5)

Cowherd pick: Falcons

Final score prediction: Falcons 24, Saints 23

Cowherd said:

“This is a rivalry game. I bet the Falcons earlier this year against the Saints and I’m gonna bet ’em again. You know I don’t like betting the Falcons and this is my second time. They are 7-2 in games decided by 8 or fewer points. In close games they are a good team and their defense has 12-straight games with a takeaway (leads NFL). Matt Ryan ate ’em up the last time he played them and the Saints offense over the last three games is a mess, 10 points a game. When you’re down to your third and fourth quarterback it’s a merry-go-round. The Saints offense on third down in the last three games is the worst in the league. I get Matt Ryan at home with over a field goal…I think Atlanta upsets the Saints.”

Final score: Saints 30, Falcons 20

Did Cowherd win? No

San Francisco 49ers vs. Los Angeles Rams (-4.5)

Cowherd pick: Rams

Final score prediction: Rams 28, 49ers 23

Cowherd said:

“Initially, I would like San Francisco and the points here but Garoppolo’s not practicing, he has an injury. The Rams are on a five-game winning streak and they are playing football. They lead the NFL in yards-per-play. Matt Stafford’s numbers this year have been fantastic. The key though is Garoppolo’s thumb sprain. I thought it would get better and it has not. You are asking Trey Lance to face this Rams team on the road in his second road start. This is a big ask for a rookie quarterback and I don’t like it.”

Final score: 49ers 27, Rams 24

Did Cowherd win? No

New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins (+6)

Cowherd pick: Dolphins

Final score prediction: Patriots 24, Dolphins 23

Cowherd said:

“A lot of the wise guys like New England. I’m taking Miami +6. First of all, 5-0 in their last 5 home games. Weird things happen last game of the year in Miami. Dolphins are 6-2 last 8 times they played the Patriots in Miami. Since Week 9, the Dolphins defense has allowed 14.5 ppg (2nd in NFL), and rank 1st in the league since Week 9 for ypg allowed, yards-per-play allowed and sacks. Their defense is fantastic. The Patriots are 3-6 against teams this year that are .500 or better. Mac Jones doesn’t really have the ability to get out of trouble and Miami’s defense gets you in trouble. It’s too many points for a rivalry points, an amazing defense and a rookie quarterback.”

Final score: Dolphins 33, Patriots 24

Did Cowherd win? Yes

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Las Vegas Raiders (+3)

Cowherd pick: Raiders

Final score prediction: Raiders 30, Chargers 27

Cowherd said:

“This game, I’ve gone back-and-forth with. I know I’m getting a true effort. With a lot of these games. I just don’t know whose playing. Both of these teams need to win. The Raiders defense, 4 of their last 5 games have played well. Derek Carr is playing his butt off this year. Darren Waller is back and I don’t trust the Chargers defense. It’s the worst third down defense in the league. The Raiders are running the ball and they are going to keep Herbert off the field.”

Final score: Raiders 35, Chargers 33

Did Cowherd win? Push

Cowherd’s Week 18 Blazin’ 5 record: 2-2-1

Colin Cowherd 2021 Blazin’ 5 overall record: 37-43-2

Lead image The Heard on FS!