The Philadelphia Phillies have taken their fans on a roller coaster ride this year. As the calendar turns to July, PA sportsbooks feature updated odds for the Phillies and their chances to make the playoffs in 2022.

They’ve had their ups, and they’ve had their downs. And it seems that they had found their groove. While not necessarily expected to contend for the National League East division title, there were expectations.

Currently, the Phillies sit in third place in the NL East, eight games behind the New York Mets. The Braves are in second, four games behind the Mets.

DraftKings Sportsbook PA has the Phillies listed at +1500 to win the NL East. The Mets are the odds-on favorite at -245, while the Braves are +225 to win the division.

Phillies playoff odds at PA sportsbooks

The Phillies had the reigning NL MVP back and healthy. They also had the Cy Young runner-up primed to lead an impressive pitching staff.

Philadelphia got out to a less-than-stellar start, going 22-29 through the first month and a half. Eventually, manager Joe Girardi was fired, just 51 games into his third season with the club.

Then the Phillies rattled off eight wins in a row, appearing to get their season back on track. Since firing Girardi, the Phillies have gone 17-6. Despite their winning ways, the Fightin’ Phils haven’t gained much ground on the first place Metropolitans.

However, the Phillies have put themselves in position to earn one of three Wild Card spots for the playoffs. They currently sit two games behind the Cardinals for the final Wild Card.

Right now, the Phillies are  to make the playoffs at PA online sportsbooks.

Their current regular season wins over/under total stands at .

If you think the Phillies can leapfrog the Braves and finish second to the Mets, DraftKings has that available as a straight forecast with odds of +310.

Then something unfortunate happened over the weekend. In the top of the fourth inning, reigning MVP Bryce Harper came up to bat. Padres pitcher Blake Snell threw a 97 mph fastball that got away and was heading right at Harper’s head. Harper was able to avoid taking the pitch to the face, instead suffering a broken left thumb.

“I kind of wish it hit me in the face,” Harper said, via the Associated Press. “I think I can take a 98 (mph) to the face, but not 97 (mph) to the thumb. Yeah, I was kind of in protection mode a little bit trying to get my hand up there and not let it hit me again. It’s just a bummer. I am really bummed out.”

Harper will undergo further evaluation this week and was placed on the 10-day injured list. However, reports are that Harper will miss around six weeks with the broken thumb.

While that’s not what Phillies fans wanted to hear, it could have been a lot worse. After all that this team has been through, they had finally found their winning ways. Now they will need to figure out a way to win without their best player.

Phillies impacted by Harper injury

A recent tweet from Jayson Stark of The Athletic, shows just how important Harper is to the Phillies.

In his last 162 games, Harper has 42 home runs, 55 doubles, 99 extra-base hits, to go with 17 stolen bases and a 6.0 win probability added.

There’s nothing the team can do to replace his production. But that is what the Phillies will try to do. They don’t have a choice.

Mickey Moniak was recalled from Triple-A. In limited action this year, Moniak is hitting just .160 with just one RBI. It is possible that Moniak can get into a rhythm if he becomes an everyday player.

And with no one really running away with the NL Rookie of the Year, perhaps there is some value on Moniak, who is currently +25000 to win the award on FanDuel PA.

In 19 games through all three levels of the minors this year, Moniak is hitting .346, with four home runs and 12 RBI. That talent is there, he just needs at-bats, something that he should get over the next two weeks.

Meanwhile, Harper’s seen his MVP odds drift from +850 just one week ago, all the way to +8000 on FanDuel. That is way too high for a guy who may only miss a few weeks. Manny Machado has missed a week, and his odds haven’t drifted higher than +550.

Harper is too good to be listed as an 80-1 long shot to win the MVP. If he can get back into the lineup in two or three weeks, and picks up where he left off, you could be sitting on some incredible value.

This is definitely a situation to monitor closely, as Harper was having a better season than his 2021 MVP campaign.

Additional Phillies betting markets

There is always value hiding somewhere on the betting board, you just need to know where to look for it. There are several bets out in the market place right now that have a chance to come in.

Leadoff hitter Kyle Schwarber has been on an absolute tear during the month of June. Schwarber has already hit 21 home runs this year, well on pace to go over his preseason total of 31.5.

However, Schwarber is still in contention to lead the league in home runs. He has smacked 10 homers already in the month of June. Schwarber is currently +2500 to lead the league in this category.

Schwarber’s 21 home runs are fifth in the league, trailing Aaron Judge (28), Mike Trout, Yordan Alvarez, and Pete Alonso, who all have 22 home runs.

It’s not impossible that Schwarber could catch Judge, who has a history of injuries. In fact, Judge has missed significant time in all but two seasons in his young career.

MLB Cy Young odds at PA sportsbooks

Last year’s Cy Young runner-up, Zach Wheeler, along with Aaron Nola, have pitched well all year. If they continue their current trajectory, they could be in the running come September.

The Phillies ace, Wheeler, who has odds of +1200 on DraftKings to win the Cy Young, is 6-4 on the year, with a 2.77 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP. Wheeler is fifth on the betting board for Cy Young odds, trailing Sandy Alcantara (+260), Corbin Burnes (+475), Joe Musgrove (+500), and Max Fried (+1100).

Wheeler also ranks fourth in the NL with 10.366 strikeouts per nine innings pitched.

Aaron Nola needs a little bit more help to capture the Cy Young, but his numbers suggest he deserves to be considered. With current odds of +2200, Nola is eighth in the Cy Young odds. However, a deeper dive into his statistics suggests he is having a better season than Wheeler.

He is currently second in the NL with 109 strikeouts, trailing only Burnes, who has 119. With a sub-three earned run average of 2.98, and a WHIP of 0.90, Nola is second only to Tony Gonsolin of the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Nola ranks fifth with 10.148 strikeouts per nine innings pitched and his 1.210 base-on-balls per nine innings is tops in the NL.

Nola will need to get over the hurdle that could potentially hold him back, and that’s his 4-5 record. While it’s more of a baseball card stat and not indicative of how well he is pitching, it is something that could stick out like a soar thumb when it comes time for voting. He does, however, rank third in the NL in WAR (wins above replacement) for pitchers.

The Phillies are sitting four games over .500 right now, which a month ago would have seemed crazy. As we near the dog days of summer, the Phillies will do their best at staying afloat until they can get Harper back into the lineup.

Photo by: AP Photo/Matt Slocum